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Weve finally made it to the weekend of the trade deadline, where every hug sets Twitter buzzing with a trade rumor. Keep that in mind with David Ortiz?--?its just what he does. With the weather really heating up, teams schedule fewer day games on Saturday, so were looking at a truncated, four-game afternoon slate. The pitching on the evening docket lacks an ace, but for some, that makes DFS more fun, if not challenging. We accept that challenge, so to help you make sense of a tricky Saturday, here are the Daily Notes.PitchingEliteRegression is a funny thing. To be clear, this is regression in the statistical sense where something out of the players control regresses to the mean. Its unfortunate regression has morphed into meaning play worse since that clouds the message when regression is discussed in the practical sense.Jake Arrietas 2015 Cy Young campaign was buoyed by an eight percent home run per fly ball rate (HR/FB), well below the league average. Its generally accepted that all hurlers will cluster around an 11 percent mark. If youre below, you likely incurred some good luck, tempered by the park factor of your home park.This season, through June 22, Arrieta allowed just three homers on a five percent HR/FB. Since then, he has surrendered five long balls on the heels of a 19 percent HR/FB clip, raising his seasonal level to 9 percent HR/FB. Theres nothing wrong with Arrieta; hes simply the victim of some regression with respect to home run rate.Well, Arrietas walk rate is up from last season, but if his 2016 homers allowed were more evenly distributed over the past four months, no one would be concerned. The bottom line is if youre in a seasonal league with Arrieta as your ace, theres nothing to worry about. This doesnt guarantee a stellar stretch run, only that theres nothing in the numbers to lose sleep over.On Saturday, Arrieta is the clear top DFS option on a short slate, despite facing a Seattle Mariners squad that handles righties effectively. It just seemed more important to spend a little time discussing the Cubs righty in a big-picture sense, based on some of the concerns expressed by his owners in traditional leagues.SolidLeading off the solid tier may be a surprise, but it shouldnt be if you check the numbers and consider the matchup. Anthony DeSclafani may not have a dominant strikeout rate, but he doesnt beat himself with the walk and is facing a weak San Diego Padres club that offers strikeout upside with a 25 percent whiff rate against right-handers. The Cincinnati Reds righty is in play for all DFS formats.Scott Kazmirs ranking may also look oddly high, but this is another case of a favorable opponent driving the score. On the road versus southpaws, the Arizona Diamondbacks carry a league average weighted on base average (wOBA) along with a whopping 27 percent strikeout rate under those conditions, the second highest mark in the league. This feeds right into the Los Angeles Dodgers leftys impressive 9.6 K/9. In addition, the Snakes are among the least patient squad in the league which helps ease the risk that sometimes Kazmir struggles with control. This combination renders the left-hander as a nice GPP option.Justin Verlander is another candidate for those looking to take down a DFS tournament. The Detroit Tigers host the powerful but strikeout-prone Houston Astros in Comerica Park. The venue is a little more hitter-friendly than perceived but its still a better place to pitch than Minute Maid Park. The veteran right-hander is having a strong July, allowing two runs or fewer in all five starts, tossing at least seven frames in three.Pedestrian middle relievers may have more wins than Julio Teheran, who has managed a scant three victories for the punchless Atlanta Braves despite pitching to an impressive 2.71 ERA. Perhaps Saturday will bring win No. 4 as the right-hander draws the equally offensively-challenged Philadelphia Phillies. Jeremy Hellickson is scheduled to oppose Teheran, but is allegedly on the trading block which would benefit Teheran as the replacement would certainly be a downgrade. Teheran is already in play for DFS. If Hellickson is scratched, the spot is even better.Continuing the theme of high-strikeout potential, Jaime Garcia leads the St. Louis Cardinals into South Beach for a date with the Miami Marlins. The Fish fan at a 23 percent pace versus southpaws, adding Garcia to the growing list of GPP candidates.Why stop now? Jameson Taillon takes the hill in Miller Park to challenge the Milwaukee Brewers and their bloated 26 percent whiff rate versus righties. The Pittsburgh Pirates rookie right-hander has tossed six frames his last three outings -- fanning 16 over those 18 stanzas -- so hes capable of taking advantage. Adding intrigue to this contest is Jonathan Lucroy and Ryan Braun, who?are potential hug recipients, which would weaken an already soft lineup.There are a few more hurlers in the solid tier but theyre not set up as well for DFS action. If you have questions on anyone not featured, please post your query in the comments or send a Tweet to @ToddZola.StreamersDespite sporting a 2.25 ERA over his last six outings, Hellickson is owned in only 41 percent of ESPN leagues. Hes not especially dominant with 26 punchouts in those 38 frames, but hes not hurting himself with only five walks. If you can get him out of your lineup in the event hes traded, Hellickson is in play against the anemic Atlanta Braves.Theres some risk since the Colorado Rockies hit righties decently even on the road, and have added a lefty in David Dahl, but if you need a late-week win, Bartolo Colon is in play.Those waiting for the complete turnaround from Drew Smyly appear to be facing disappointment. However, the New York Yankees dont hit lefties very well and are incurring a big park downgrade in Tropicana Field, so the Tampa Bay Rays?southpaw is in play for this home affair.Facing Smyly is Nathan Eovaldi, so if you need some strikeouts, the Yankees righty is a solid choice facing a Rays club that whiffs at a 24 percent clip when facing a right-hander.AvoidWeve got a trio of arms registering a projected Game Score of 45 or below that are automatic avoids in Reynaldo Lopez, Yovani Gallardo and Martin Perez. Of course, your team situation trumps the score, so if using one of these risks is necessary to win, do what you have to do. Additionally, Tommy Milone against the Chicago White Sox and Hector Santiago facing the Boston Red Sox look to be in for a long day, or an early shower.HittingIt seems to be all or nothing with the Boston Red Sox. On paper, Saturday sets up to be an all-in affair with southpaw Hector Santiago on the bump in Angel Stadium. Even in a venue that suppresses homers, Santiago has allowed 12 long balls in 51 frames. Granted, hes been throwing better lately, but that feeds into the hit-or-miss nature of the Red Sox in general. Mookie Betts and Dustin Pedroia will be in their usual table-setting spots, enjoying the platoon bump along with Xander Bogaerts in the three-hole. Then it gets tricky, as you need to choose between Ortiz and Hanley Ramirez. This looks like a spot to go with the platoon edge in Ramirez, though Big Papi has hit lefties well, thus, is a viable play that can even be termed contrarian.The Pittsburgh Pirates are beginning to get rolling, and with a nice park upgrade in Miller Park, theyre in play versus righty Chase Anderson of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Bucs are especially solid as a contrarian stack since theyre mostly right-handed. John Jaso and Gregory Polanco are the standard options since they swing lefty at the top of the order. Its using Andrew McCutchen, Starling Marte and Jung Ho Kang that afford the stealth differentiation from other entries.The Kansas City Royals are thrilled to have Lorenzo Cain back, inserting him into the familiar three-hole where hell have the platoon advantage over Martin Perez as the defending World Series champions visit Arlington. Alcides Escobar and Cheslor Cuthbert are strong plays, especially in cash action. If youre looking to stack Royals, Kendrys Morales and Salvador Perez are the choices with more power potential.Most likely to hit a home run: Joey GalloExactly half of the slates 30 scheduled starters sport a HR/9 of 1.4 or greater. If the balls arent flying out of the yard on Saturday, theres something amiss. Of the bevy of possible culprits, Ian Kennedy will take the ball in hot and humid Globe Life Park which does no favors for his 2.1 HR/9. Lets give the nod to the kid that swings so hard in case he hits the ball, and call on Gallo to do the honors.Most likely to steal a base: Nori AokiDespite the extended dont worry treatment extended to Arrieta, one thing he has never done well is control the running game. Aoki is back on top of the Seattle Mariners lineup, and while hes only 4-for-11 on the season when attempting thievery, he has seen Arrieta enough to take advantage. Custom NCAA Shirts . In taking its goal tally to 99 in all competitions already this season, City delivered another demonstration of its lethal firepower at Etihad Stadium to set up a fourth-round match at home to another second-tier team -- Watford. Wholesale Custom College Jerseys . Dusautoir, the former World Player of the Year, sustained a torn bicep playing for Toulouse in the Heineken Cup on Saturday. The flanker, who has played 65 times for France, is expected to be out for up to four months. http://www.collegecustomjerseyscheap.com/ .Y. -- Syracuse has turned up the defence at the right time all season, and when High Point threatened to pull off a monumental upset the second-ranked Orange did what they do best with their quick hands and savvy play. Custom College Jerseys Online . The 17-year-old native of Marystown, N.L., pulled out of Skate Canada International last month in Saint John, N.B., with the same problem. Custom College Jerseys . -- Adam Snyder returned to the San Francisco 49ers this season because the offensive lineman thought it was his best opportunity to win a championship. PITTSBURGH -- Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey doesnt think much about his new promotion to the top of the depth chart as a starter alongside Antonio Brown.Heyward-Bey has selflessly played a multi-faceted role since he signed with the Steelers in 2014 as a free agent, and that suits him just fine. Hes more concerned with quietly going about his job in an effort to help the team win.It doesnt matter if hes the starting receiver for Sundays game at Baltimore, a standout on special teams or helping in the run game as a blocker.Its not just words coming out of his mouth, Pittsburgh offensive coordinator Todd Haley said. He means it. Hes willing to do anything and everything to give you the best chance to win.Heyward-Bey said he has always carried that kind of unselfish mentality. It just took a while for others to notice. Heyward-Bey, an eighth-year veteran, was drafted No. 7 overall by the Oakland Raiders in 2009 and spent a year in Indianapolis, but he found a home in Pittsburgh.Youre talking about a high, top-10 draft pick at the receiver position, which I coached for a lot of years, so I know the diva that can show up there, Haley said. Hes one of my favorite players Ive ever been around in my 20 years of coaching. Hes a team-first guy, and those are the special guys that help you become a special team.Heyward-Bey is simply looking to produce for the team.Im just doing what Ive been doing the three years Ive been here, just doing what the coaches ask me to do, Heyward-Bey said. I just want to go out there and make plays when the opportunities come to me on offense, special teams, whatever it may be.Heyward-Bey has scored touchdowns in consecutive weeks against Miami and New England.dddddddddddd He flashed his 4.3-second 40-yard dash speed on a 60-yard end-around against Miami, and pulled in a laser-like dart in the corner of the end zone from Landry Jones against the Patriots.Its great having a guy out there who you can trust, Jones said. You know hes going to be in the right spot, you know hes going to play hard and play physical, and hes got great speed to get down the field. Its kind of a comfort zone for me.Heyward-Bey can play all three receiver positions, but he takes particular pride in his effort, calling himself a grinder in reference to his blocking abilities and special teams play. Its what brought him to this point with the Steelers.I just want to do whatever, Heyward-Bey said. If thats 10 catches in a game, if thats no catches and a bunch of tackles, if its just setting the edge on a run . whatever we have to do to win, Im here to do it.Game notes Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was listed as a limited practice participant for the second straight day on Thursday. Haley said Roethlisberger remains day to day after undergoing surgery on his left knee two weeks ago, but he looked good in practice and. The decision to play Sunday against Baltimore will ultimately come down to coach Mike Tomlin and his quarterback. . RB DeAngelo Williams (knee) didnt practice Thursday after he was limited a day earlier.(Corrects 2013 to 2014)---AP NFL website: http://pro32.ap.org and http://twitter.com/AP-NFL ' ' '